Markets › detail

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 31°F or below on February 6?

data as of 2026-02-05 22:50 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$64−$8.8K$8.8K
Holders48+1434
Trades138−4142
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate20.3%
−73.5 pp
93.8%
Avg ROI155.7%
+155.3 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.00
+3.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.36
+6.37×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$2.6K
$2.6K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.18
0.82
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.2%
−89.6 pp
0.4%
Underwater %54.7%
+54.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.2%
+39.9 pp
0.3%
Bot %33.8%
+33.5 pp
0.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse