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Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-01-16?

data as of 2026-01-16 21:46 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.9K−$34K$36K
Holders80−54134
Trades510+73437
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.9%
−41.6 pp
79.5%
Avg ROI-4.7%
−7.5 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×27.28
+26.33×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×23.56
+22.60×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$196
$198
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.09
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.8%
−100.2 pp
4.5%
Underwater %94.7%
+89.4 pp
5.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.7%
+2.2 pp
44.5%
Bot %43.6%
−1.1 pp
44.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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