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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

data as of 2026-05-16 03:30 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.0K+$3.6K$5.4K
Holders100−39139
Trades1.6K+801.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.0%
+9.6 pp
43.4%
Avg ROI0.3%
−14.3 pp
14.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.60
−42.21×
×42.80
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.59
−41.52×
×42.11
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.7K
+$1.7K
$2.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.06
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL67.2%
+164.7 pp
-97.5%
Underwater %0.3%
−94.9 pp
95.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.8%
−0.4 pp
71.2%
Bot %75.7%
−0.6 pp
76.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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