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U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?

data as of 2026-01-31 11:22 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$467−$12K$13K
Holders50+842
Trades1.0K+495523
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.6%
−32.4 pp
79.0%
Avg ROI14.7%
+10.9 pp
3.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.98
+17.00×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×19.27
+18.30×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
+$31
−$30
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.6%
−98.4 pp
3.8%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.7%
+28.0 pp
21.6%
Bot %49.7%
+28.0 pp
21.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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