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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1AM ET

data as of 2026-05-03 05:55 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K+$12K$1.4K
Holders43−3376
Trades286−353639
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.7%
+7.9 pp
50.8%
Avg ROI3.5%
+2.2 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.81
−12.30×
×13.10
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−17.53×
×18.25
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$499
+$474
$25
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.02
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL37.2%
+131.8 pp
-94.6%
Underwater %0.2%
−97.8 pp
98.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.4%
+3.8 pp
36.7%
Bot %40.7%
+1.7 pp
39.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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