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Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?

data as of 2026-07-21 07:01 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$0−$40$40
Holders2+11
Trades2+11
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate1.9%
−83.8 pp
85.7%
Avg ROI49.3%
+48.7 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.00
+1.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$40
$40
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-50.0%
−50.0 pp
-0.0%
Underwater %11.1%
−88.9 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %11.1%
+11.1 pp
0.0%
Bot %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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