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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-18 00:27 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.6K+$3.8K$2.8K
Holders93−497
Trades734−130864
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.5%
+3.8 pp
52.6%
Avg ROI7.0%
+1.5 pp
5.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.76
−4.02×
×4.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−3.86×
×4.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.5K
+$2.5K
$932
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.05
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL34.3%
+113.9 pp
-79.5%
Underwater %0.3%
−92.2 pp
92.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.4%
−0.2 pp
61.7%
Bot %78.0%
+3.3 pp
74.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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