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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

data as of 2025-12-03 10:28 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$56K+$46K$9.4K
Holders158+13145
Trades1.6K−201.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate84.8%
+48.0 pp
36.9%
Avg ROI3.8%
+0.1 pp
3.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.89
−0.56×
×1.44
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.87
−1.28×
×2.14
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$31.7K
+$31.7K
−$13
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.45
0.49
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL15.2%
+71.7 pp
-56.5%
Underwater %42.3%
−26.4 pp
68.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.6%
−22.2 pp
58.9%
Bot %29.2%
−26.5 pp
55.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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