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Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C on January 26?

data as of 2026-01-25 15:54 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$105−$3.0K$3.1K
Holders49+940
Trades263+93170
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate19.6%
−56.8 pp
76.3%
Avg ROI-2.8%
−5.8 pp
3.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.67
+0.69×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.90
+0.94×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6
−$193
$199
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-47.5%
−51.4 pp
3.9%
Underwater %69.3%
+69.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.7%
−11.6 pp
18.3%
Bot %6.7%
−11.6 pp
18.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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