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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

data as of 2026-04-27 15:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K−$27K$44K
Holders420−37457
Trades5.5K+765.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.5%
−18.2 pp
65.8%
Avg ROI2.2%
+1.2 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×19.61
+19.00×
×0.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.09
+16.42×
×0.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.3K
−$15.0K
$29.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.02
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.5%
−152.3 pp
57.8%
Underwater %88.4%
+85.7 pp
2.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.0%
+11.2 pp
61.8%
Bot %75.4%
+12.8 pp
62.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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