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Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 04:57 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$634−$603$1.2K
Holders38−644
Trades299+22277
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.2%
+2.9 pp
52.3%
Avg ROI1.7%
+1.4 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.51
+12.83×
×0.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.61
+12.92×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$144
−$316
$461
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.00
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.5%
−138.8 pp
46.3%
Underwater %98.3%
+98.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.9%
−5.4 pp
44.3%
Bot %49.5%
+6.4 pp
43.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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