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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4AM ET

data as of 2025-10-31 08:48 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K−$858$19K
Holders101+1190
Trades1.8K−5762.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.8%
−15.5 pp
74.3%
Avg ROI4.2%
+4.0 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.64
−38.27×
×38.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.64
−38.81×
×39.45
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$538
+$560
−$22
Recent buyer dominance0.65
+0.24
0.42
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL54.4%
+151.7 pp
-97.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.0 pp
98.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.6%
+32.4 pp
46.2%
Bot %77.9%
+31.6 pp
46.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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