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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

data as of 2026-07-02 00:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K+$2.7K$20K
Holders428+132296
Trades3.3K+4172.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.6%
+0.1 pp
49.5%
Avg ROI2.7%
+1.7 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×55.00
+54.51×
×0.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×48.00
+47.46×
×0.53
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20.7K
+$2.6K
$18.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.04
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.9%
−194.2 pp
96.3%
Underwater %96.2%
+96.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.2%
−5.7 pp
52.9%
Bot %53.6%
−10.4 pp
64.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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