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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

data as of 2026-03-20 08:07 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$62K+$54K$7.6K
Holders309−61370
Trades3.1K−1383.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.2%
+14.9 pp
42.3%
Avg ROI-0.8%
−0.3 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.66
−9.74×
×10.40
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.64
−9.82×
×10.47
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18.3K
+$11.1K
$7.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.03
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL51.1%
+142.2 pp
-91.2%
Underwater %0.9%
−93.4 pp
94.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %80.2%
+7.5 pp
72.7%
Bot %80.1%
+7.6 pp
72.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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