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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 14?

data as of 2026-02-12 15:09 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.2K−$71K$73K
Holders86+1967
Trades1.5K+877655
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.0%
−31.8 pp
67.8%
Avg ROI5.9%
+6.9 pp
-1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.51
+15.58×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.94
+11.03×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$44
+$439
−$396
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.8%
−100.0 pp
9.2%
Underwater %97.4%
+97.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %56.0%
−30.0 pp
85.9%
Bot %57.4%
−28.5 pp
85.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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