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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

data as of 2026-05-11 04:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.6K−$11K$18K
Holders359+63296
Trades3.0K+2922.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.2%
−9.2 pp
53.4%
Avg ROI2.8%
+4.7 pp
-1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×22.52
+21.88×
×0.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.28
+15.62×
×0.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.0K
−$8.2K
$14.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.01
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.0%
−143.4 pp
48.4%
Underwater %73.7%
+73.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.1%
+10.8 pp
50.3%
Bot %46.6%
−13.1 pp
59.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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