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Will Tucker Carlson attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

data as of 2026-02-25 04:45 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$338−$13K$14K
Holders33−437
Trades403−10413
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate63.5%
−25.1 pp
88.6%
Avg ROI1.3%
+0.4 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.82
+1.88×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.34
+2.39×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$21
−$5.5K
$5.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-66.3%
−72.1 pp
5.7%
Underwater %97.3%
+86.3 pp
11.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.7%
+26.1 pp
11.6%
Bot %37.7%
+26.1 pp
11.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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