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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 5°C or below on February 16?

data as of 2026-02-15 23:02 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$51−$16K$16K
Holders48048
Trades408+188220
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate26.0%
−56.3 pp
82.3%
Avg ROI143.9%
+142.9 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.98
+4.99×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$2.5K
$2.5K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-85.5%
−86.2 pp
0.6%
Underwater %47.4%
+47.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.1%
+28.4 pp
3.7%
Bot %31.3%
+27.6 pp
3.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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