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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

data as of 2026-05-03 12:35 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.7K−$16K$21K
Holders347+95252
Trades2.3K+6291.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.0%
−14.0 pp
59.9%
Avg ROI4.3%
−0.2 pp
4.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.42
+4.54×
×0.88
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.85
+4.98×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.1K
−$10.4K
$14.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.04
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-79.2%
−100.0 pp
20.8%
Underwater %72.3%
+72.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.0%
−17.2 pp
72.1%
Bot %58.7%
−13.3 pp
72.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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