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Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?

data as of 2026-07-21 06:37 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 29, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
67¢
NO
38¢
YES
67¢
YesY-NNo
Position$97−$26$123
Holders9−211
Trades20−1030
NO
38¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.2%
−10.2 pp
55.5%
Avg ROI3.2%
−8.1 pp
11.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.01
+0.01×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$151
+$151
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-0.5%
−0.5 pp
0.0%
Underwater %35.6%
+35.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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