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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

data as of 2025-10-05 21:30 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$197+$19$179
Holders10−515
Trades47−1057
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.1%
+32.5 pp
19.6%
Avg ROI-0.2%
−13.4 pp
13.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.70
−10.80×
×11.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−12.97×
×13.71
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$41
+$38
$4
Recent buyer dominance0.69
−0.31
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL29.1%
+121.8 pp
-92.7%
Underwater %17.0%
−83.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.4%
+4.5 pp
54.8%
Bot %50.6%
−1.9 pp
52.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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