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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

data as of 2026-07-10 08:09 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$26K+$18K$8.4K
Holders377+38339
Trades2.3K−4542.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.2%
+2.7 pp
47.4%
Avg ROI-2.7%
−5.4 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.79
−11.51×
×12.31
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.79
−10.36×
×11.15
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$21.2K
+$14.4K
$6.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.86
−0.10
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL31.0%
+123.2 pp
-92.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.8 pp
98.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.7%
−5.1 pp
42.8%
Bot %51.7%
−1.2 pp
52.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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