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Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?

data as of 2026-07-15 15:20 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
13¢
NO
86¢
YES
13¢
YesY-NNo
Position$150+$150$0
Holders19+190
Trades28+271
NO
86¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.3%
+30.3 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI-1.4%
−1.4 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.92
+1.92×
×0.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.64
+1.64×
×0.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12
+$25
−$13
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-39.0%
−39.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %74.2%
+74.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.4%
+18.4 pp
0.0%
Bot %25.9%
+25.9 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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