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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 15:55 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K−$13K$37K
Holders431+79352
Trades3.4K+293.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.6%
−6.2 pp
56.8%
Avg ROI4.8%
+5.2 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×42.20
+41.62×
×0.58
Top-20 avg cost vs price×41.93
+41.36×
×0.57
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$21.7K
−$12.9K
$34.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.01
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.4%
−169.8 pp
72.4%
Underwater %96.5%
+95.1 pp
1.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.0%
+6.2 pp
34.8%
Bot %61.0%
+1.5 pp
59.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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