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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-23 20:14 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$19K+$6.6K$12K
Holders330+48282
Trades2.3K02.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.0%
+3.2 pp
50.8%
Avg ROI1.8%
+0.5 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.53
−5.89×
×6.42
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.58
−5.18×
×5.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.9K
+$5.0K
$11.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.07
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL79.6%
+162.8 pp
-83.2%
Underwater %0.8%
−96.6 pp
97.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.3%
+0.4 pp
38.0%
Bot %71.9%
+1.4 pp
70.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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