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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

data as of 2026-03-15 09:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$13K$27K
Holders384+79305
Trades4.3K+4163.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.4%
−8.9 pp
53.3%
Avg ROI3.4%
+3.9 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×37.49
+36.88×
×0.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×35.83
+35.21×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.6K
−$4.5K
$16.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.04
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.9%
−154.3 pp
57.3%
Underwater %99.7%
+99.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.9%
−9.0 pp
78.8%
Bot %68.9%
−8.8 pp
77.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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