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Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $116K on August 2 at 5PM ET?

data as of 2025-08-02 10:26 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.2K−$32K$33K
Holders39−1857
Trades229−17246
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.3%
−22.9 pp
62.2%
Avg ROI-14.8%
−19.3 pp
4.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.61
+0.64×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.39
+1.42×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$103
$105
Recent buyer dominance0.75
−0.25
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-57.1%
−60.0 pp
2.9%
Underwater %99.4%
+98.2 pp
1.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %1.7%
−30.7 pp
32.4%
Bot %1.3%
−31.1 pp
32.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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