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Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 4?

data as of 2026-02-04 20:56 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.6K−$7.2K$9.7K
Holders116+2393
Trades985+353632
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.5%
−16.4 pp
61.8%
Avg ROI3.4%
−5.8 pp
9.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×34.81
+34.14×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×32.24
+31.55×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$116
−$731
$847
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.12
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.8%
−142.3 pp
45.5%
Underwater %97.2%
+97.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.3%
+9.8 pp
37.5%
Bot %36.8%
+5.5 pp
31.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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