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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

data as of 2026-07-23 08:14 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K+$11K$4.9K
Holders321+38283
Trades1.8K−2372.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.7%
+5.1 pp
48.7%
Avg ROI1.9%
+0.5 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.73
−5.32×
×6.05
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−5.17×
×5.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.9K
+$9.4K
$4.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.02
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL35.3%
+119.3 pp
-84.0%
Underwater %1.3%
−98.2 pp
99.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %27.4%
−4.9 pp
32.3%
Bot %56.5%
+1.5 pp
55.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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