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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 09:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K+$6.0K$11K
Holders289−72361
Trades2.2K−4112.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.7%
+0.7 pp
49.0%
Avg ROI3.6%
+4.7 pp
-1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.71
−8.95×
×9.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−11.58×
×12.30
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.2K
+$3.2K
$10.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.12
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL42.1%
+132.7 pp
-90.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.5 pp
99.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.2%
+8.5 pp
23.7%
Bot %52.7%
+13.1 pp
39.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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