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XRP Up or Down - July 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-05 00:56 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$133−$53$186
Holders31+1516
Trades125+8837
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.7%
−17.3 pp
60.0%
Avg ROI1.2%
+2.2 pp
-1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.00
+14.37×
×0.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×52.49
+51.81×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18
−$79
$97
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.04
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.2%
−143.3 pp
45.1%
Underwater %95.4%
+95.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.5%
+13.7 pp
33.8%
Bot %48.7%
+10.6 pp
38.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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