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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

data as of 2025-11-25 08:55 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K−$9.6K$30K
Holders131+28103
Trades1.0K+113908
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.5%
−14.3 pp
61.9%
Avg ROI-5.7%
−8.8 pp
3.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.00
+49.49×
×0.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×41.07
+40.48×
×0.59
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$541
−$4.3K
$4.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.05
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.5%
−164.9 pp
67.4%
Underwater %99.2%
+99.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.5%
−9.1 pp
43.6%
Bot %25.4%
−17.6 pp
43.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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