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Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 20:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$609−$1.4K$2.0K
Holders48+1533
Trades312+98214
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.7%
−3.4 pp
53.1%
Avg ROI12.7%
−13.5 pp
26.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×22.16
+21.25×
×0.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×21.87
+20.98×
×0.89
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$220
−$1.4K
$1.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.00
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.6%
−108.9 pp
13.2%
Underwater %97.9%
+97.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.1%
−23.0 pp
77.1%
Bot %54.4%
−23.1 pp
77.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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