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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

data as of 2026-03-11 04:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$25K$36K
Holders382+67315
Trades4.5K+1244.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.7%
−22.7 pp
61.4%
Avg ROI6.3%
+9.1 pp
-2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.00
+17.26×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.40
+17.64×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.9K
−$17.3K
$27.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.04
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.0%
−130.5 pp
35.5%
Underwater %98.1%
+97.7 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.9%
−11.9 pp
81.8%
Bot %71.6%
−11.2 pp
82.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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