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Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?

data as of 2026-07-21 05:30 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 29, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
10¢
NO
90¢
YES
10¢
YesY-NNo
Position$53−$86$139
Holders3−25
Trades18+99
NO
90¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.2%
+5.5 pp
40.7%
Avg ROI1.0%
−0.1 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.77
+2.77×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.77
+2.77×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$10
−$196
$186
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-73.5%
−73.5 pp
0.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
−42.0 pp
42.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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