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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-19 00:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$21K$34K
Holders389+106283
Trades4.9K+8814.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.6%
−15.4 pp
55.9%
Avg ROI-5.4%
−4.6 pp
-0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.84
+10.07×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.71
+10.95×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.7K
−$16.7K
$28.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.00
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.6%
−125.8 pp
34.2%
Underwater %98.7%
+98.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %79.5%
−9.3 pp
88.9%
Bot %79.4%
−9.0 pp
88.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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