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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

data as of 2026-01-01 08:07 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$31K+$25K$5.9K
Holders194−44238
Trades3.3K+303.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.7%
+19.5 pp
38.2%
Avg ROI4.5%
+13.7 pp
-9.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.77
−11.24×
×12.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
−8.96×
×9.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.5K
+$7.7K
$1.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.79
+0.02
0.78
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL33.5%
+123.9 pp
-90.3%
Underwater %0.1%
−83.3 pp
83.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.7%
+11.6 pp
53.1%
Bot %63.2%
+10.7 pp
52.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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