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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET

data as of 2026-05-19 02:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.9K+$980$6.9K
Holders113+10103
Trades1.2K−1201.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.2%
−1.5 pp
51.7%
Avg ROI0.4%
−0.8 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×27.01
+26.58×
×0.44
Top-20 avg cost vs price×26.40
+25.98×
×0.41
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.4K
−$8
$1.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.16
0.78
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.2%
−226.0 pp
129.8%
Underwater %98.3%
+98.2 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %66.0%
+3.5 pp
62.5%
Bot %75.4%
+5.2 pp
70.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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