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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

data as of 2026-04-16 11:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K+$13K$8.1K
Holders184+9175
Trades2.0K−4842.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.9%
+7.8 pp
48.1%
Avg ROI0.8%
−2.4 pp
3.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.73
−27.04×
×27.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−27.38×
×28.14
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.8K
+$4.3K
$1.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.02
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL35.4%
+131.8 pp
-96.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.1 pp
98.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %86.5%
+16.1 pp
70.3%
Bot %87.6%
+6.0 pp
81.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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