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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 19:23 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K+$7.3K$6.8K
Holders288−8296
Trades2.0K−1182.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.7%
+3.1 pp
47.6%
Avg ROI6.1%
+4.9 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.72
−16.68×
×17.40
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−14.86×
×15.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.9K
+$6.6K
$6.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.03
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL37.4%
+131.1 pp
-93.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.6 pp
98.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.1%
+3.8 pp
29.4%
Bot %42.2%
+4.1 pp
38.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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