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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

data as of 2026-07-11 01:22 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$28K+$22K$5.6K
Holders398+179219
Trades2.1K+2351.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.8%
+1.1 pp
47.7%
Avg ROI4.0%
+2.3 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.66
−6.86×
×7.52
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.65
−6.24×
×6.89
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$27.2K
+$21.7K
$5.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.01
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL47.4%
+133.0 pp
-85.6%
Underwater %1.3%
−96.6 pp
97.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.7%
−5.3 pp
46.0%
Bot %48.2%
−5.7 pp
53.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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