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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

data as of 2026-03-05 03:30 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K−$16K$34K
Holders426+102324
Trades4.3K+744.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate31.8%
−22.4 pp
54.2%
Avg ROI0.7%
+7.0 pp
-6.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×44.68
+44.19×
×0.48
Top-20 avg cost vs price×35.03
+34.43×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.0K
−$7.7K
$24.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.03
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.1%
−165.1 pp
68.1%
Underwater %93.7%
+77.1 pp
16.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.9%
+3.1 pp
69.8%
Bot %73.0%
+3.2 pp
69.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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