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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

data as of 2026-05-22 07:56 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.4K−$6.7K$9.0K
Holders147+5691
Trades1.2K+276876
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.4%
−1.2 pp
50.6%
Avg ROI-1.0%
−1.2 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.77
+13.02×
×0.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.75
+11.99×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$567
−$2.6K
$3.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.07
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.4%
−126.3 pp
33.9%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.9%
−18.4 pp
67.3%
Bot %70.4%
−17.1 pp
87.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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