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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-18 19:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$23K$35K
Holders320+37283
Trades3.2K+2163.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.0%
−8.6 pp
55.5%
Avg ROI-4.6%
−4.1 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.87
+14.15×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.79
+14.08×
×0.71
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.7K
−$8.7K
$10.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.04
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.5%
−132.5 pp
39.0%
Underwater %99.2%
+99.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.2%
+1.5 pp
73.7%
Bot %73.9%
+0.8 pp
73.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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