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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

data as of 2025-12-13 02:19 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K+$3.3K$6.8K
Holders27−128
Trades38−644
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.3%
−10.5 pp
59.8%
Avg ROI-14.6%
−15.1 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.78
−1.07×
×1.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.78
−1.06×
×1.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$38
+$22
$15
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL27.7%
+73.5 pp
-45.9%
Underwater %0.4%
−99.3 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %10.8%
−4.1 pp
14.9%
Bot %0.8%
+0.0 pp
0.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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