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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

data as of 2026-04-11 20:33 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.6K−$159K$164K
Holders425−80505
Trades3.3K+1713.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.7%
−33.2 pp
67.9%
Avg ROI5.0%
+4.7 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.85
+7.96×
×0.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.62
+9.73×
×0.88
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.2K
−$20.2K
$24.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.01
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.4%
−108.7 pp
16.3%
Underwater %86.0%
+85.3 pp
0.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.5%
+2.1 pp
57.4%
Bot %56.6%
−4.8 pp
61.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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