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Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 26?

data as of 2026-07-24 04:16 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 26, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
17¢
NO
83¢
YES
17¢
YesY-NNo
Position$31−$94$125
Holders3−36
Trades3−58
NO
83¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.8%
−17.5 pp
57.3%
Avg ROI11.3%
−15.1 pp
26.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10
−$40
$50
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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