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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

data as of 2026-04-09 20:24 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$41K+$25K$17K
Holders388+21367
Trades3.9K−4504.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.2%
+12.9 pp
43.3%
Avg ROI-0.9%
−27.9 pp
27.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.68
−28.96×
×29.65
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−30.76×
×31.44
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$27.9K
+$11.8K
$16.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.03
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL46.3%
+142.9 pp
-96.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.4 pp
96.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %84.3%
+10.5 pp
73.9%
Bot %83.2%
+11.3 pp
71.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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