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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on April 5?

data as of 2026-04-03 10:45 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$44−$6.0K$6.0K
Holders48−3583
Trades412+171241
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate21.3%
−59.2 pp
80.6%
Avg ROI33.8%
+34.2 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.33
+2.34×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.12
+3.13×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$471
$476
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-75.7%
−76.5 pp
0.8%
Underwater %97.0%
+96.4 pp
0.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.1%
−8.3 pp
83.4%
Bot %90.6%
+10.0 pp
80.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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