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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-18 11:58 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K+$5.8K$6.2K
Holders251+115136
Trades2.2K+3451.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.4%
+2.6 pp
47.8%
Avg ROI1.0%
−0.1 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.75
−5.47×
×6.22
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−5.26×
×5.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.5K
+$3.7K
$2.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.79
−0.12
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL44.9%
+127.9 pp
-82.9%
Underwater %0.1%
−97.0 pp
97.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.3%
−10.0 pp
42.3%
Bot %31.8%
−10.9 pp
42.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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